Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 2.341315 2.698978 3.098364 3.578368 4.140902 4.780812 5.566097
2025-04-06 1.804959 2.278056 2.861136 3.636998 4.648886 5.932742 7.699217
2025-04-13 1.469364 1.967585 2.622818 3.556045 4.864687 6.654635 9.322925
2025-04-20 1.315506 1.849896 2.591665 3.710292 5.378599 7.812747 11.703716
2025-04-27 1.155438 1.692084 2.471234 3.704101 5.641488 8.629137 13.702897
2025-05-04 1.061628 1.613045 2.447136 3.826570 6.101919 9.797119 16.441809
2025-05-11 0.961275 1.508514 2.366690 3.842674 6.384987 10.710697 18.904296
2025-05-18 0.876699 1.416904 2.292467 3.853685 6.652930 11.627658 21.523745
2025-05-25 0.782819 1.298278 2.158342 3.741702 6.683957 12.120894 23.426207
2025-06-01 0.730024 1.242313 2.122273 3.795163 7.018274 13.215611 26.701358
2025-06-08 0.689628 1.202886 2.109453 3.887268 7.435043 14.526877 30.666212
2025-06-15 0.641022 1.143294 2.053150 3.888548 7.670929 15.507043 34.096914
2025-06-22 0.577755 1.056524 1.948797 3.807154 7.779454 16.352722 37.689620
2025-06-29 0.536574 1.007960 1.913832 3.867115 8.212485 18.022750 43.771926
2025-07-06 0.485144 0.932862 1.816528 3.780681 8.306690 18.940882 48.212660
2025-07-13 0.464719 0.916624 1.834988 3.945633 9.002334 21.423866 57.494175
2025-07-20 0.430708 0.868396 1.780627 3.939011 9.289299 22.957177 64.578652
2025-07-27 0.411762 0.849373 1.785803 4.070014 9.939339 25.569842 75.652377
2025-08-03 0.385724 0.812011 1.745939 4.087242 10.301567 27.487984 85.183507
2025-08-10 0.361860 0.776721 1.706341 4.099023 10.652077 29.453867 95.524895
2025-08-17 0.331607 0.723779 1.619811 3.979230 10.619963 30.295992 102.282156
2025-08-24 0.315335 0.701219 1.602262 4.036416 11.101738 32.813660 115.992397
2025-08-31 0.302736 0.685881 1.600250 4.134952 11.725097 35.932780 133.163314